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The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers
Dietz, Sarah N.; Aulerich, Nicole M.; Irwin, Scott H.; … - In: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 41 (2009) 01
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas over 1982â … marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas is about equal to the market if a 24- or 20-month market benchmark … harvest benchmark is used. The sensitivity of marketing performance to the market benchmark considered is explained by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041379
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Farmer’s Income Shifting Option in Post-harvest Forward Contracting
Mallory, Mindy L.; Zhao, Wenjiao; Irwin, Scott H. - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2012
We estimate the cost of post-harvest forward contracting corn and soybeans for January and March delivery from 1980 through 2009. For both corn and soybeans we saw a downward trend in the cost of forward contract for January delivery and we conclude that the cost of forward contracting for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010881173
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Grain Stocks Estimates: Can Anything Explain the Market Surprises of Recent Years?
Irwin, Scott H. - Office of the Chief Economist, Department of Agriculture - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010908836
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Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets
Irwin, Scott H.; Sanders, Dwight R. - In: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 44 (2012) 03
The first decade of the 21st century has perhaps witnessed more structural change in commodity futures markets than all previous decades combined. Not only have trading volumes and open interest increased markedly, but this time period also saw historic changes in both trading and participants....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010914320
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The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test
Park, Cheol-Ho; Irwin, Scott H. - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, … - 2005
Numerous empirical studies have investigated the profitability of technical trading rules in a wide variety of markets, and many of them found positive profits. Despite positive evidence about profitability and improvements in testing procedures, skepticism about technical trading profits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220395
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Is the Local Basis Really Local?
Manfredo, Mark R.; Sanders, Dwight R. - NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, … - 2006
transportation differentials when determining the basis for their particular market. If so, certain grain marketing locations (e …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220637
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OPTIMAL HEDGING WITH VIEWS: A BAYESIAN APPROACH
Shi, Wei; Irwin, Scott H. - NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, … - 2004
The optimal hedging model has become the standard theoretical model of normative hedging behavior due to its intuitive tradeoff of expected return with risk, its effcient use of information and its easy implementation. In practice, the model can be easily implemented with the Parameter Certainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005320349
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RE-CONSIDERING THE NECESSARY CONDITION FOR FUTURES MARKET EFFICIENCY: AN APPLICATION TO DAIRY FUTURES
Sanders, Dwight R.; Manfredo, Mark R. - NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, … - 2004
The traditional necessary condition for futures market inefficiency is the existence of alternative forecasting methods that produce mean squared forecast errors smaller than the futures market. Here, a more exacting requirement for futures market efficiency is proposed-forecast encompassing....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005320351
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IMPROVING THE RELEVANCE OF RESEARCH ON PRICE FORECASTING AND MARKETING STRATEGIES
Brorsen, B. Wade; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 25 (1996) 1
Agricultural economists' research on price forecasting and marketing strategies has been used little by those in the … or from using a marketing strategy are not impossible, but any gains are likely to be small. We need to conduct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005320563
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THE PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2001: A NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY
Irwin, Scott H.; Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes; Good, Darrel L. - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, … - 2003
The purpose of this research report is to summarize the pricing performance of professional market advisory services for the 1995-2001 corn and soybean crops. First, advisory programs in corn do not consistently beat market benchmarks, but they do consistently beat the farmer benchmark. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005320670