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We develop a systematic framework for the joint modelling of returns and multiple daily realised measures. We assume a linear state space representation for the log realised measures, which are noisy and biased estimates of the log daily integrated variance, at least due to Jensen's inequality....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177448
normal density and is robust to fat-tailed returns as it averages information over the cross-section of the observed N …
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-trivial dynamics with a clear interpretation. …
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We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
series per day varies from 1000 to 10,000. Complexities in the intraday dynamics of volatility and in the frequency of trades …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011295740
We argue that existing methods for the treatment of missing observations in observation-driven models lead to inconsistent inference. We provide a formal proof of this inconsistency for a Gaussian model with time-varying mean. A Monte Carlo simulation study supports this theoretical result and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794421
We investigate high-frequency volatility models for analyzing intra-day tick by tick stock price changes using Bayesian estimation procedures. Our key interest is the extraction of intra-day volatility patterns from high-frequency integer price changes. We account for the discrete nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456723