We define a disastrous default as the default of a systemic entity. Such an event is expected to have a negative effect on the economy and to be contagious. Bringing macroeconomic structure to a noarbitrage asset-pricing framework, we exploit prices of disaster-exposed assets (credit and equity...

We define a disastrous default as the default of a systemic entity, which has a negative effect on the economy and is contagious. Bringing macroeconomic structure to a no-arbitrage asset pricing framework, we exploit prices of disaster-exposed assets (credit and equity derivatives) to extract...

In modeling disequilibrium macroeconomic systems which one would want to subject to econometric estimation one typically faces the problem of whether the structural model can determine a unique equilibrium. The problem inherits a special form because the regimes in which the equilibria can lie...