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In this paper, we assess the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts at the regional level using a large data set at quarterly frequency. We forecast gross domestic product (GDP) for two German states (Free State of Saxony and Baden- Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a...
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We assess the forecast ability of Norges Bank's regional survey for inflation, GDP growth and the unemployment rate in Norway. We propose several factor models based on regional and sectoral information given by the survey. The analysis identifies which information extracted from the ten sectors...
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We propose to construct factor models based on disaggregate survey data to forecast national aggregate macroeconomic variables. We apply our methodology to Norges Bank's regional survey, which allows to construct regional and sectoral factor models, and to the Swedish Business Tendency survey,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109339
We tackle the nowcasting problem at the regional level using a large set of indicators (regional, national and international) for the years 1998 to 2013. We explicitly use the ragged-edge data structure and consider the different information sets faced by a regional forecaster within each...
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