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for the cointegration rank test are also briefly discussed. In our empirical application we use the data from Figuerola … conclusion from the empirical analysis is that, when using the FCVAR model, there is more support for the cointegration vector (1 …-run backwardation, compared to the results from the non-fractional model. Specifically, we reject the hypothesis that the cointegration …
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-unit cointegration coefficient. Price discovery can be analyzed in the FCVAR model by a relatively straightforward examination of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381431
for the cointegration rank test are also brie y discussed. In our empirical application we use the data from Figuerola … conclusion from the empirical analysis is that, when using the FCVAR model, there is more support for the cointegration vector (1 …-run backwardation, compared to the results from the non-fractional model. Specifically, we reject the hypothesis that the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381434
Based on recent evidence of fractional cointegration in commodity spot and futures markets, we investigate whether a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464770
We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The model is applied to daily polling data of political support in the United Kingdom for 2010 - 2015. We compare with popular competing models and at various forecast horizons. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279787
We consider the fractional cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model of Johansen and Nielsen (2012a) and show that the test statistic for the ususal CVAR model is asymptotically chi-squared distributed. Because the usual CVAR model lies on the boundary of the parameter space for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944463