Showing 1 - 10 of 10
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008651639
We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The model is applied to daily polling data of political support in the United Kingdom for 2010 - 2015. We compare with popular competing models and at various forecast horizons. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279787
-unit cointegration coefficient. Price discovery can be analyzed in the FCVAR model by a relatively straightforward examination of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381431
for the cointegration rank test are also brie y discussed. In our empirical application we use the data from Figuerola … conclusion from the empirical analysis is that, when using the FCVAR model, there is more support for the cointegration vector (1 …-run backwardation, compared to the results from the non-fractional model. Specifically, we reject the hypothesis that the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381434
We use a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive model to examine the relationship between Canadian political support and macroeconomic conditions. This model is well suited for the analysis because it allows multiple fractional time series and admits simple asymptotic inference for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364647
This manual describes the usage of the accompanying freely available Matlab program for estimation and testing in the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. This program replaces an earlier Matlab program by Nielsen and Morin (2014), and although the present Matlab...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418272
Based on recent evidence of fractional cointegration in commodity spot and futures markets, we investigate whether a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464770
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394599
for the cointegration rank test are also briefly discussed. In our empirical application we use the data from Figuerola … conclusion from the empirical analysis is that, when using the FCVAR model, there is more support for the cointegration vector (1 …-run backwardation, compared to the results from the non-fractional model. Specifically, we reject the hypothesis that the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946780
-unit cointegration coefficient. Price discovery can be analyzed in the FCVAR model by a relatively straightforward examination of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946789