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This paper studies the implications of perceived default risk for aggregate output and productivity. Using a model of …-level probabilities of default which can be applied using data on firm-level employment and default risk. We obtain direct estimates of … firms per year. As expected, we find a strong correlation between default risk and a firm's future performance. We estimate …
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This paper shows that, with (partial) irreversibility, higher uncertainty reduces the impact effect of demand shocks on investment. Uncertainty increases real option values making firms more cautious when investing or disinvesting. This is confirmed both numerically for a model with a rich mix...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752137
This paper shows that, with (partial) irreversibility, higher uncertainty reduces the impact effect of demand shocks on investment. Uncertainty increases real option values making firms more cautious when investing or disinvesting. This is confirmed both numerically for a model with a rich mix...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466282
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