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For many years the longevity risk of individuals has been underestimated as survival probabilities improved across the developed world. The uncertainty and volatility of future longevity has posed significant risk issues for both individuals and product providers of annuities and pensions. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116210
Mortality models used to assess longevity risk and retirement funding have been extended to stochastic models with trends and systematic risk. Systematic risk cannot be readily diversified in an insurance pool or pension fund. It is an important factor in assessing solvency and highlighting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082579
We analyze the risk and profitability of reverse mortgages with lump-sum or income stream payments from the lender's perspective. Reverse mortgage cash flows and loan balances are modeled in a multi-period stochastic framework that allows for house price risk, interest rate risk and risk of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085145
Changing demographics creates the potential for the expansion of existing and new products to manage longevity risk. Life annuities address this risk, yet these annuity product markets are thin. Insurers are concerned about the long term risks associated with these longevity products and capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088055
This paper assesses the impact of longevity risk management on insurer shareholder value and solvency for an annual portfolio. The analysis uses a multi-period stochastic mortality model with both systematic and idiosyncratic longevity risk. We consider both survivor, or longevity, swaps that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072540
There is a significant potential demand in many countries around the world for a flexible product to manage individual longevity risk arising from the prevalence of defined contribution pensions, uncertainty in improvements in life expectancy, potential reductions in public pensions and a lack...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836433
Pension funds and life insurers offering annuities hold long term liabilities linked to longevity. Risk management of life annuity portfolios aims to immunize or hedge both interest rate and mortality risks. Standard fixed interest duration-convexity hedging must be adapted to allow for both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024055
Developing a liquid longevity market requires reliable and well-designed financial instruments. An index-based longevity swap and a cap are analyzed in this paper under a tractable stochastic mortality model. The model is calibrated using Australian mortality data and analytical formulas for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026643