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A new look at the discouragement and the added worker hypotheses : applying a trend-cycle decomposition to unemployment

Fuchs, Johann; Weber, Enzo - 2013

Using German data this study applies an unobserved-components approach to disentangle the unemployment rate into a (stochastic) trend and a cyclical part and to estimate the influence of these components on labor participation. The persistent trend component of unemployment, which triggers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715284

Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies

Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - 2013

The paper investigates the predictive power of a new survey implemented by the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) for forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA’s regional agencies are asked about their expectations of future labor market developments. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198066

Conditional patterns of unemployment dynamics in Germany : conference paper

Nordmeier, Daniela; Weber, Enzo - 2013

This paper studies the conditional patterns of unemployment dynamics in Germany. We employ a structural VAR model and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336262

COVID-19 : how much unemployment was caused by the shutdown in Germany?

Bauer, Anja; Weber, Enzo - In: Applied economics letters 28 (2021) 12, pp. 1053-1058

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589743

Wie die Materialengpässe den Arbeitsmarkt treffen

Hummel, Markus; Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 102 (2022) 4, pp. 316-318

Although industrial production in Germany picked up again significantly with the recovery from the Corona crisis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013178012

The unemployment impact of the COVID-19 shutdown measures in Germany

Bauer, Anja; Weber, Enzo - 2020

This paper evaluates the short-term labour market impact of the COVID-19 Containment measures in Germany. We take the …Wir analysieren die kurzfristigen Arbeitsmarkteffekte der COVID-19 Eindämmungsmaßnahmen in Deutschland. Mittels eines …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222508

Corona-Krise : die transformative Rezession

Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 100 (2020) 6, pp. 429-431

Mit der Corona-Krise nimmt die Arbeitslosigkeit trotz aller Gegenmaßnahmen in Deutschland zu. In früheren Rezessionen …With the Corona crisis, unemployment is increasing in Germany despite all the countermeasures taken. In previous …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270696

Szenarien zur Prognose von Flüchtlingseffekten auf die Arbeitslosigkeit

Weber, Enzo - 2015

In der Herbstprognose des IAB wird der Effekt der seit Jahresmitte 2015 deutlich erhöhten Flüchtlingszuwanderung auf die jahresdurchschnittliche Arbeitslosigkeit 2016 auf +130.000 Personen geschätzt. In diesem Dokument werden Szenariorechnungen auf Basis des Flüchtlingsmodells des IAB...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011645592

Which factors are behind Germany's labour market upswing?

Hutter, Christian; Klinger, Sabine; Weber, Enzo; … - 2019

The strong and sustained labour market upswing in Germany is widely recognized. In a developing literature, various …Der starke und anhaltende Arbeitsmarktaufschwung in Deutschland ist allgemein anerkannt. In einer sich entwickelnden …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105105

Lockdown length and strength: labour-market effects in Germany during the COVID-19 pandemic

Bauer, Anja; Weber, Enzo - 2021

This paper evaluates the short-term labour market impact of the COVID-19 containment measures in Germany. It examines … two dimensions of the first lockdown in Germany, namely the length and the strength of the lockdown. While the assessment …Dieses Papier evaluiert die kurzfristigen Arbeitsmarkteffekte der COVID-19-Eindämmungsmaßnahmen in Deutschland. Wir …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012596966