In this paper we question the consensus of using a binary crisisdefinition for empirical crisis models. We believe that the most severeshortcomings of the crisis models today are in the crisis definition rather than the explanatory variables ...

A lot happened even before the perceived beginning of this crisis in 2007,so although the events are recent, I will give an overview from a US perspectiveof the period from 2001 to date, in our search for the lessons to be learned.Much of it is probably familiar, but worth revisiting.I will...