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This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
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including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as …
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including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as …
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-based sentiment indicators from two countries (Germany and the US). Consistent with previous research we find there is predictability …
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Germany and the US we confirm previous findings of predictability at intermediate time horizons. The main contribution of our …
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