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Consensus estimates put the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) at about four years (Rogoff, 1996). However, conventional least squares estimates of half-lives are biased downward. Accordingly, as a preferred measure of the persistence of real exchange rate shocks, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604970
A definition of selfinformative Bayes carriers or limits is given as a description of an approach to noninformative Bayes estimation in non- and semiparametric models. It takes the posterior w.r.t. a prior as a new prior and repeats this procedure again and again. A main objective of the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956523
Bayes estimates are derived in multivariate linear models with unknown distribution. The prior distribution is defined using a Dirichlet prior for the unknown error distribution and a ormal-Wishart distribution for the parameters. The posterior distribution for the parameters is determined and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956545
We propose a Bayesian procedure to estimate heteroscedastic variances of the regression error term ω, when the form of heteroscedasticity is unknown. The prior information on ω is based on a Dirichlet distribution, and in the Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, its proposal density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011144000
In many meta-analysis cases the estimator of the overall effect in independent trials or experiments leads to unjustified significant results. This paper considers trials with two arms where the summary statistic of interest is either the mean difference or the risk difference. By using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010982381
A prominent use of local to unity limit theory in applied work is the construction of confidence intervals for autogressive roots through inversion of the ADF t statistic associated with a unit root test, as suggested in Stock (1991). Such confidence intervals are valid when the true model has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011015213
When analyzing the productivity of firms, one may want to compare how the firms transform a set of inputs x (typically labor, energy or capital) into an output y (typically a quantity of goods produced). The economic efficiency of a firm is then defined in terms of its ability of operating close...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956458
This paper analyzes the persistence property of energy use in 107 countries around the world during 1971-2011 using different subsampling confidence intervals introduced by Romano and Wolf (2001). These confidence intervals are much more informative than the unit root tests and are more robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928929
Often socio-economic variables are measured on a discrete scale or rounded to protect confidentiality. Nevertheless, when exploring the effect of a relevant covariate on the whole outcome distribution of a discrete response variable, virtually all common quantile regression methods require the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255547
This paper presents two computational techniques and shows that these techniques can improve tests for market efficiency based on profit of trading rules. The two techniques focus on interval estimates for expected profit per trade, in contrast to the standard approach that emphasizes point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260002