At its June meeting, for the first time this year, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided to cut the key rate by 0.25 pp. to 7.5% per annum. Such a decision was motivated by the plunge of annual inflation in April-May 2019 to 5.1%, coupled with weakening inflation risks. The inflation...

The monetary policy priority for the coming years is to maintain the inflation rate at 4%, according to the Draft Guidelines for the Single State Monetary Policy in 2018 and for 2019 and 2020. Monetary authorities will continue to pursue a moderately tight monetary policy, but the objective of...

In June, the Russian Central Bank, for the first time since summer 2015, decided to reduce the key interest rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 10.5%. The decline in inflation expectations, further slowdown in inflation and stabilization of the external environment, together with the...

The paper investigates to what extent some basic tools of the ECBs monetary analysis can be useful for other central banks given their specific institutional, economic and financial environment. We take the case of the Bank of Russia in order to show how to adjust methods and techniques of...

Recent slowdown of economic growth forces Russian political authorities to seek for policy measures to support economic activity. Monetary expansion is considered as one of the possible alternatives, which we consider inappropriate. During the whole post-crisis period monetary authorities of...

At its Board of Directors meeting in June, the Bank of Russia raised the key rate for the third time since the beginning of the year, by 0.5 p.p. to 5.5% per annum. This decision was caused by an accelerated inflation triggered by reviving demand as the containment measures were being lifted,...

In September, the Central Bank of Russia’s Board of Directors took a decision to tighten monetary policy. The key interest rate was raised by 0.25 p.p. to 6.75% per annum, the maximum value since December 2019. Such an increase was substantiated by intensified inflationary pressures on the...

The Bank of Russia Board of Directors meeting on 18 September 2020 left the key rate unchanged at 4.25% per annum thus putting on hold monetary policy easing taking place from the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic. This decision was due to the effect of short-term proinflationary risks...

The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...

The marked turnaround in Russia's foreign trade in 2023 exerted strong downward pressure on the Russian rouble, which lost around 30% of its value. Global oil prices were declining in the first half of the year, the EU import embargo on Russian oil depressed prices even further; and on top of...