, while mutual fund strategies are largely trend following. The only institutional performers---the 2/3 of hedge fund managers … that are contrarian---earn alpha of 2.4% per year. Contrarian hedge fund managers tend to trade profitably with all other … manager types, especially when purchasing stocks from momentum-oriented hedge and mutual fund managers. Superior contrarian …

managerial replacement. We find that managers with superior performance that is due to sample variation are more likely to be … dismissed than are ‘unlucky' managers indicating that many fund companies are not captivated by the ‘lucky' managers' extreme … performance and willing to give ‘unlucky' managers another chance. Furthermore, underperforming managers are more likely to be …