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This article contributes to the debate about the impact of the U.S. fracking boom on U.S. oil imports, on Arab oil exports, and on the global price of crude oil. First, I investigate the extent to which this oil boom has caused Arab oil exports to the United States to decline since late 2008....
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This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528313
the former but not the latter explanation. -- Petroleum Economics ; Stochastic Dynamic Optimization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419703
Petroleum Exporting Countries in the crude oil exports have single-product, in other words income from selling oil or … the equation to import Petroleum Exporting Countries: the price of oil that can be a positive effect ordering that the … real imports that are probably through wealth. The Petroleum Exporting Countries to some extent of the price of oil higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104639
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility spillovers between the returns on crude oil futures and oil company stocks using alternative multivariate GARCH models, namely the CCC model of Bollerslev (1990), VARMA-GARCH model of Ling and McAleer (2003), and VARMA-AGARCH model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159693
Using copulas, we investigate the pairwise dependence structures between two risk factors, oil price and aggregate market index price, and the US oil and gas sub-sector indices. We also explore the out-of-sample hedging performance of a hedging strategy by minimizing the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951539
This paper examines the advantages and drawbacks of alternative methods of estimating oil supply and oil demand elasticities and of incorporating this information into structural VAR models. I not only summarize the state of the literature, but also draw attention to a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822493
There is mounting evidence that global oil demand will peak between 2020 and 2040, supported by rational economics (inter-fuel competition and efficiency gains) and environmental policies. The perspective of a peak in world oil demand poses a serious economic threat to petrostates whose GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018070