Es liegt in der Verantwortung von ökonomischen Entscheidungsträgern, Entscheidungen unter Unsicherheit zu treffen. Finanzmarktunsicherheit kann ökonomische Aktivität negativ beeinflussen. In diesem Sinn können Prognosen theoretisch einen ökonomischen Mehrwert liefern. Diese kumulative...

The estimation of the costs of conflict is currently receiving a lot of attention in the literature. This paper aims to give a thorough overview of the existing literature, first by addressing the history of case studies that address conflict costs and second by looking at the existing body of...

Empirical study of causality between inflation, inflation uncertainty and other macroeconomicy quantities. Additionally, the issue of how to measure the unobservable inflation uncertainty is addressed.