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This study offers a novel examination of the mean-reversion properties of the current account balances, expressed as a percentage of GDP, for the Asian-5 economies: Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand. While prior studies mainly employed traditional unit-root tests, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501140
Purpose: This study aims to examine the sustainability of the current account deficit in Turkey for the quarterly data between 2003 and 2018. Besides, some policy implications are made to ensure the sustainability of the current account deficit in Turkey’s economy. Design/methodology/approach:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293106
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001439830
The paper investigates by means of cointegration analysis whether the recently observed low levels of private saving and the current account balance in the United States are worrisome in the sense that they cannot be sufficiently explained by determinants which performed well in the past. Stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475984
The objectives of this paper are to study the impact of liberalisation on trade deficits and current accounts of developing countries. It is expected that trade liberalisation would promote economic growth from the supply side by leading to a more efficient use of resources, by encouraging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070258
This paper aims to assess the usefulness of leading indicators in business cycle research and forecast. Initially we … indicators performs in forecasting turning points of the Macedonian business cycle by employing the Qual VAR approach of Dueker … (2005). In continuation, we evaluate the quality of the selected indicators in pseudo-out-of-sample context. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623919
In this paper a flexible model for correlation in high frequency data is proposed, which maintains the data's discrete nature and captures features such as asymmetry and excess zeros. The model uses an a theoretical approach based on that of an ARIMA model. This model works with price changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104300
Several empirical studies are concerned with measuring the effect of currency and current account crises on economic growth. Using different empirical models this paper serves two aspects. It provides an explicit assessment of country specific factors influencing the costs of crises in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007638
Turkey's high current account deficit has been at the core of macroeconomic policy discussions in recent years. Quantifying the role of cyclical factors in driving the current account fluctuations is essential for designing an appropriate policy response and evaluating the impact of policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010432246
This paper studies current account reversals in industrial countries across different exchange rate regimes. There are two major findings which have important implications for industrial economies with external imbalances: first, triggers of current account reversals differ between exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082531