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Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500234
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197334
Countries of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) are heterogeneous, characterized by marked differences in production and export structures, divergent levels of inflation rates and fiscal positions. These features suggest that there is a greater tendency for the transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342069
Business cycle models with sticky prices and endegenous firm entry make novel predictions on the transmission of shocks through the extensive margin of investment. This paper tests some of these predictions using a vector autoregression with model-based sign restrictions. We find a positive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295880
-used probit approach, but the dynamics of regressors are endogenized using a VAR. The combined model is called a ‘ProbVAR’. At any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605301
to model the interaction between the banking sector and the macroeconomy. Our identified-VAR analysis indicates that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273175
for the skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276400
This contribution investigates the business cycles of Switzerland compared to its five neighboring countries Germany, Austria, Italy, France and Liechtenstein. In contrast to the widespread notion of small countries “importing” the business cycle from bigger neighbors, it is shown that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447280
-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions. Hours fall in response to skill-biased technology shocks, indicating that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286842
We evaluate the Smets-Wouters model of the US dynamically using indirect inference with a VAR representation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288839