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Deutsche Konjunktur stabil - Wachstumspotenziale heben
2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372882
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Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? : German evidence
Heinisch, Katja; Scheufele, Rolf - 2017
In this paper we investigate whether differences exist among forecasts using real-time or latest-available data to predict gross domestic product (GDP). We employ mixed-frequency models and real-time data to reassess the role of survey data relative to industrial production and orders in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595370
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Forecasting industrial production in Germany : the predictive power of leading indicators
Schlösser, Alexander - 2020
unterschiedlicher Finanzmarktindikatoren, um die Industrieproduktion in Deutschland vorherzusagen. Die Prognoseeigenschaften, innerhalb …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149544
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A federal long-run projection model for Germany
Holtemöller, Oliver; Irrek, Maike; Schultz, Birgit - 2012
einem Land oder in einer Region. In dieser Studie wird ein Projektionsmodell für Deutschland insgesamt und die deutschen … Länder vorgestellt. Dabei wird zunächst die wirtschaftliche Aktivität in Deutschland insgesamt mit Hilfe einer … Produktion in Deutschland insgesamt und in den einzelnen Ländern werden diskutiert. -- Regionale Wachstumsprojektion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009680971
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How persistent are international capital flows?
Galstyan, Vahagn (contributor) - 2009
This paper documents the dynamic properties of the current account, trade balance and international capital flows. For this purpose, two approaches are taken: probit and a nonparametric estimation. The probabilistic approach shows that, in general, deficits and net inflows tend to be more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003795866
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Nation size and unemployment
Berthold, Norbert; Gründler, Klaus - 2011
Throughout the world, strong dispersions of both regional and national unemployment rates can be observed. The economic theory has developed various explanations on how this differences occur. Corresponding models mainly aim at institutional and political framework, insider effects, efficiency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424775
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Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Asymmetric Responses and Market Shares
Tcha, MoonJoong - 2016
This study examines ERPT with asymmetric response and both import and export market shares, using wool trade data. The study found that, asymmetric response may be as common as symmetric response. In addition, the responses (both in price and quantity demanded) to the changes in exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993595
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An Update of the Bank of Italy Methodology Underlying the Estimation of Price-Competitiveness Misalignments
Giordano, Claire - 2020
This paper documents the recent innovations to the Bank of Italy methodology underlying the estimation of price-competitiveness misalignments , first put forward in Giordano (2018); it also provides the most recent misalignment estimates for the euro area and for its four main economies, based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832771
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Essays on international trade and development
Heid, Benedikt - 2014
This volume was prepared by Benedikt Heid while he was working at the ifo Institute and the University of Bayreuth. It was completed in December 2013 and accepted as a doctoral thesis by the Department of Economics at the Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München. It includes six self-contained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742960
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Stimmungen und Erwartungen im System der Märkte : eine Analyse mit DPLS-Modellen
Ruge, Marcus - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009490380