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Sequential Matching Estimation of Dynamic Causal Models
Lechner, Michael - 2021
This paper proposes sequential matching and inverse selection probability weighting to estimate dynamic causal effects …. The sequential matching estimators extend simple, matching estimators based on propensity scores for static causal … estimators perform well in small and medium size samples. Based on the application of the sequential matching estimators to an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319454
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Microeconometric Evaluation of the Active Labour Market Policy in Switzerland
Lechner, Michael; Gerfin, Michael - 2000
and social security records. We apply a matching estimator adapted for the case of multiple programmes. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262365
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Microeconometric evaluation of the active labour market policy in Switzerland
Gerfin, Michael; Lechner, Michael - 2000
and social security records. We apply a matching estimator adapted for the case of multiple programmes. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333282
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Microeconometric Evaluation of the Active Labour Market Policy in Switzerland
Lechner, Michael; Gerfin, Michael - 2021
unusually informative data originating from administrative unemployment and social security records. We apply a matching …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321284
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A probit model for the state of the Greek GDP growth
Degiannakis, Stavros - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 3 (2015) 3, pp. 381-392
The paper provides probability estimates of the state of the GDP growth. A regime-switching model defines the probability of the Greek GDP being in boom or recession. Then probit models extract the predictive information of a set of explanatory (economic and financial) variables regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312197
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Sequential matching estimation of dynamic causal models
Lechner, Michael (contributor) - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001943994
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When to ease off the brakes (and hopefully prevent recessions)
Hastings, Harold M.; Young-Taft, Tai; Wang, Thomas - 2019
Increases in the federal funds rate aimed at stabilizing the economy have inevitably been followed by recessions. Recently, peaks in the federal funds rate have occurred 6-16 months before the start of recessions; reductions in interest rates apparently occurred too late to prevent those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012006453
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Recent Macroeconomic Performance in Colombia : What Went Wrong?
Arango-Thomas, Luis Eduardo; Iregui, Ana Maria; Melo, Luis - 2006
At the end of the last decade, real activity in Colombia underwent the sharpest recession it had suffered in the last fifty years. With the aim to explain this phenomenon, we are postulating a non-triangular structural VAR model to describe the dynamics of output, prices, unemployment and wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014056173
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Regional Treatment Intensity as an Instrument for the Evaluation of Labour Market Policies
Frölich, Markus; Lechner, Michael - 2004
The effects of active labour market policies (ALMP) on individual employment chances and earnings are evaluated by nonparametric instrumental variables based on Swiss administrative data with detailed regional information. Using an exogenous variation in the participation probabilities across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261854
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Does Subsidised Temporary Employment Get the Unemployed Back to Work? An Econometric Analysis of Two Different Schemes
Gerfin, Michael; Lechner, Michael; Steiger, Heidi - 2002
econometric matching methods we find that TEMP is considerably more successful in getting the unemployed back into work than EP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262619