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Non-linear dynamics and predictable forecast errors : an application to the OECD forecasts for Germany
Antzulatos, Angelos A. - 2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013430530
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The information value of central school exams
Schwerdt, Guido; Woessmann, Ludger - 2015
The central vs. local nature of high-school exit exam systems can have important repercussions on the labor market. By … grades differs between central and local exams. We find that the earnings premium for a one standard-deviation increase in … high-school grades is indeed 6 percent when obtained on central exams but less than 2 percent when obtained on local exams …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283115
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The information value of central school exams
Schwerdt, Guido; Woessmann, Ludger - 2015
The central vs. local nature of high-school exit exam systems can have important repercussions on the labor market. By … grades differs between central and local exams. We find that the earnings premium for a one standard-deviation increase in … high-school grades is indeed 6 percent when obtained on central exams but less than 2 percent when obtained on local exams …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283839
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Life-cycle variations in the association between current and lifetime earnings : evidence for German natives and guest workers
Brenner, Jan - 2009
In many economic models a central variable of interest is lifetime or permanent income which is not observed in survey data sets and typically proxied by annual income information. To assess the quality of such approximations, we use a unique source of lifetime earnings - the German pension...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824741
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Give missings a chance : combined stochastic and rule-based approach to improve regression models with mismeasured monotonic covariates without side information
Dlugosz, Stephan - 2011
Register data are known for their large sample size and good data quality. The measurement accuracy of variables highly depends on their high importance for administrative processes. The education variable in the IAB employment sub-sample is an example for information that is gathered without a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901839
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Continuous-time modelling with spatial dependence
Oud, Johannes H. L.; Folmer, Henk; Patuelli, Roberto; … - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720763
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Estimating the density of ethnic minorities and aged people in Berlin : multivariate kernel density estimation applied to sensitive geo-referenced administrative data protected via...
Groß, Marcus; Rendtel, Ulrich; Schmid, Timo; Schmon, … - 2015
Modern systems of official statistics require the timely estimation of area-specific densities of sub …-parametric kernel density estimation that reverses the rounding process by using a Bayesian measurement error model. The methodology is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486952
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Information or institution? : On the determinants of forecast accuracy
Döhrn, Roland; Schmidt, Christoph M. - 2010
The accuracy of macroeconomic forecast depends on various factors, most importantly the mix of analytical methods used by the individual forecasters, the way that their personal experience is shaping their identification strategies, but also their efficiency in translating new information into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008933291
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Do IFO indicators help explain revisions in German industrial production? : presented at CESifo conference "Academic Use of ifo Survey Data", December 2003
Jacobs, Jan; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2004
This paper studies the information content of some Ifo indicators. In particular, we investigate whether two Ifo indicators, one on the current business situation, the other on current production development, provide information on revisions of German industrial production. A new feature of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449259
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Measurement errors arising when using distances in microeconometric modelling and the individuals' position is geo-masked for confidentiality
Arbia, Giuseppa; Espa, Giuseppe; Giuliani, Diego - In: Econometrics : open access journal 3 (2015) 4, pp. 709-718
In many microeconometric models we use distances. For instance, in modelling the individual behavior in labor economics or in health studies, the distance from a relevant point of interest (such as a hospital or a workplace) is often used as a predictor in a regression framework. However, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411576