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Development of a financial health indicator based on companies' annual accounts
Vivet, David - 2011
This document describes the development of a financial health indicator based on companies' financial statements. This indicator is conceived as a weighted combination of variables, which is obtained through a model discriminating between failing firms and non-failing firms. The definition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596313
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Bankruptcy and the COVID-19 crisis
Wang, Jialan; Yang, Jeyul; Iverson, Benjamin; Kluender, … - 2020
We examine the impact of the COVID-19 economic crisis on business and consumer bankruptcies in the United States using real-time data on the universe of filings. Historically, bankruptcies have closely tracked the business cycle and contemporaneous unemployment rates. However, this relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511297
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Global macro-financial shocks and expected default frequencies in the euro area
Castrén, Olli; Dées, Stéphane; Zaher, Fadi - 2008
Modelling the link between the global macro-financial factors and firms’ default probabilities constitutes an elementary part of financial sector stress-testing frameworks. Using the Global Vector Autoregressive(GVAR) model and constructing a linking satellite equation for the firm-level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604921
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The failure of Northern Rock : a multi-dimensional case study
Bruni, Franco (ed.); Llewellyn, David T. (ed.) - 2009
In August 2007 the United Kingdom experienced its first bank run in over 140 years. Although Northern Rock was not a particularly large bank (it was at the time ranked 7th in terms of assets) it was nevertheless a significant retail bank and a substantial mortgage lender. In fact, ten years...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705347
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Bankruptcy resolution and the restoration of priority of claims
Capkun, Vedran; Weiss, Lawrence A. - 2016
We present new evidence on the violation of priority of claims in bankruptcy and recovery rates for secured creditors, unsecured creditors, equity holders using a sample of firms that filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy between 1993 and 2004. Our study reveals a number of new insights: First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011616846
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Bottom-up leading macroeconomic indicators : an application to non-financial corporate defaults using machine learning
Pike, Tyler; Sapriza, Horacio; Zimmermann, Tom - 2019
This paper constructs a leading macroeconomic indicator from microeconomic data using recent machine learning techniques. Using tree-based methods, we estimate probabilities of default for publicly traded non-financial firms in the United States. We then use the cross-section of out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182392
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How costly is corporate bankruptcy for top executives?
Eckbo, B. Espen; Thorburn, Karin S.; Wang, Wei - 2012
We examine chief executive officer (CEO) career and compensation changes for large firms filing for Chapter 11. One-third of the incumbent CEOs maintain executive employment, and these CEOs experience a median compensation change of zero. However, incumbent CEOs leaving the executive labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625392
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Macroeconomic impact on expected default frequency
Åsberg, Per (contributor); Shahnazarian, Hovick (contributor) - 2008
We use a vector error correction model to study the long-term relationship between aggregate expected default frequency and the macroeconomic development, i.e. CPI, industry production and short-term interest rate. The model is used to forecast the median expected default frequency of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003618542
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The COVID-19 insolvency gap : first-round effects of policy responses on SMEs
Dörr, Julian Oliver; Murmann, Simona; Licht, Georg - 2021
COVID-19 placed a special role to fiscal policy in rescuing companies short of liquidity from insolvency. In the first … focusing on firms’ pre-crisis financial standing, we estimate the extent to which the policy response induced an insolvency gap … measures being focused on smaller firms, we also examine whether this insolvency gap differs with respect to firm size. Based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012434436
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COVID-19 and SME failures
Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier; Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; … - 2020
We estimate the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on business failures among small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) in seventeen countries using a large representative firm-level database. We use a simple model of firm cost minimization and measure each firm's liquidity shortfall during and after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392364