The monetary authorities need a future measure of inflation trend to keep on tracking the inflation on target. Many alternatives of the core inflation measure have appeared in the recent literature pretending to avoid the deficiencies of the usual headline inflation index as a predictor. This...

Space-varying regression models are generalizations of standard linear models where the regression coefficients are allowed to change in space. The spatial structure is specified by a multivariate extension of pairwise difference priors, thus enabling incorporation of neighboring structures and...

We implement decompositions of cyclical unemployment in a large developing country using the conventional 3-states and a 4-states representation of the labor market, where in the latter we subdivide the employment state into formal and informal forms of employment. This allows a richer analysis...