This paper explores how different reasons for business closure impact the probability that financial loss will be suffered by creditors. Using German small business data, the study finds that business closure due to financial problems is strongly correlated with a likelihood of financial loss....

Previous empirical research shows the effectiveness of using sets of economic-financial ratios for company default prediction statistical modeling. However, such research rarely focuses on small enterprises (SEs) as specific units of analysis. In Italy, SEs account for more than 98% of all firms...

Small businesses may be expected to be more likely to fail because they are more volatile, have less power in negotiations with financial and social partners, are more credit-rationed by credit managers, are less likely to benefit from their experience or 'learning effects', compared to large...

We study the effects of fiscal policy in response to the COVID-19 pandemic at the firm, sector, country and global level. First, we estimate the impact of COVID-19 and policy responses on small and medium sized enterprise (SME) business failures. We combine firm-level financial data from 50...

The quantitative analyses related to firms’ default prediction extensively analyzed which balance sheet ratios include significant information on the probability of default of a firm. These analyses are typically aimed at measuring a generic default risk, while no analyses are aimed at...

The transition from the state ownership to market mechanisms in Hungary fundamentally altered the geography of domestic micro, small, and medium enterprises (SMEs). This study investigates the spatial and temporal evolution of owner numbers, using data on all Hungarian SMEs between 1991 and 2019...