Hog, corn, and soybean meal futures are shown to be cointegrated, reflecting the close intrinsic relationship of corn and soybean meal as the primary feed for hogs. Applying a recent technique to date-stamp pricing bubbles we further show that bubbles in feed do not appear to be associated with...

This study investigates empirical methods of generating prediction intervals for WASDE forecasts of corn, soybean, and wheat prices over the 1980/81 through 2006/07 marketing years. Empirical methods use historical forecast errors to estimate forecast error distributions, which are then used to...

Poor convergence performance of CBOT corn, soybean, and wheat futures contracts since late 2005 has been a major source of concern to market participants, regulators, and elected representatives at the state and national levels. After careful review of available evidence, it appears that recent...

We develop a discrete-choice model of differentiated products for U.S. corn and soybean seed demand to study the welfare impact of genetically engineered (GE) crop varieties. Using a unique dataset spanning the period 1996-2011, we find that the welfare impact of the GE innovation is...

This paper analyzes the impact of USDA and IBGE crop forecast announcements in the Brazilian corn and soybean futures market. Futures prices were obtained from BM&FBOVESPA from 2009 to 2014 and announcements days were collected from IBGE and USDA historical reports. Expected value of absolute...