All economists should be conversant with “what happened?” during the financial crisis of 2007-2009. We select and summarize 16 documents, including academic papers and reports from regulatory and international agencies. This reading list covers the key facts and mechanisms in the build-up of...

During the globalization process, each country tries to have monetary stability, macro economic discipline, an effective finance system, and a more competitive market mechanism. On the aspects of applied policies and politicians' reliability, their accountability and transparency is far...

A major factor behind this crisis is financialization of the system, with a growing disconnect between the monetary and the real sector. Some proponents of the Islamic finance claim such financial crisis would have been avoided, if asset-backed Islamic finance were adopted. However, while...

International monetary arrangements - the practices and rules governing the creation, distribution, and management of money and credit in the world economy - have received little attention from philosophers concerned with international distributive justice. A convincing account of the...

We analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, we analyze the dynamics of co-movement at different levels of aggregation and...

Using quarterly data for the Federal Republic of Germany, we generate four-quarter-ahead forecasts for real GDP growth. Throughout the seventies and eighties, real M1 is still the best predictor. It clearly outperforms interest rate-based forecasts, and within this group short-run interest rates...

This paper introduces a new tool to monitor economic and financial vulnerabilities in emerging-market economies. We obtain vulnerability indexes for several early warning indicators covering 26 emerging markets from 1990 to 2017 and use them to monitor the evolution of vulnerabilities before,...

Die vorliegende Arbeit stellt die wichtigsten Ergebnisse der Konjunkturanalyse und -prognose vor, die der Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung in seinem Jahresgutachten 2000/2001 am 15. November 2000 vorgelegt hat. Zum besseren Verständnis werden...