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Prior research has documented the role of information uncertainty in the cross-sectional variation in stock returns …. Miller (1977) hypothesizes that if information uncertainty is caused by differences of opinion, prices will reflect only the …, Merton (1974) asserts that default risk is a function of the uncertainty in the asset value process. Information uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014736
The properties of information, including "information uncertainty", can be understood only Bayesianly. Common … formulations that define information uncertainty in terms of just statistical "precision" (i.e. sampling variance), or any one … estimator characteristic (e.g. bias), are inadequate for generalized Bayesian analysis. Methods that deny information a Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019904
recognize the influence of information uncertainty on the pricing of liquidity. Information uncertainty, which is positively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905445
investigate whether the change in the acquirer's information uncertainty contributes to acquirer wealth losses. Information … acquisitions lead to increases in information uncertainty, as proxied by analysts' earnings forecast dispersion. We also find that … the change in information uncertainty is negatively related to acquirer long-term stock performance, after controlling for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124334
recognize the influence of information uncertainty on the pricing of liquidity. Information uncertainty, which is positively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296823
ordinary common stocks (NonREITs). Thus, information does not appear to move between the private and public asset markets in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115972
In the paper we present the application of risk neutral measure estimation in the analysis of the index WIG20 from Polish stock market. The risk neutral measure is calculated from the process of the options on that index. We assume that risk neutral measure is the mixture of lognormal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468362
Using high-frequency price and volume data from several large exchanges, we show that FOMC and CPI announcements have a massive impact on Bitcoin's realized volatility and volume. However, this effect is a recent phenomenon, which started as inflation rose at the beginning of 2021. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350108
The study examines the predictability of 48 sovereign bond markets based on a strategy of 27,000 technical trading rules. These rules represent four popular trading rule classes, they are: moving average, filtering, support and resistance, and channel breakout rules, with numerous variants in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895038
This paper proposes a two-state predictive regression model and shows that stock market 12-month return (TMR), the time-series momentum predictor of Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen (2012), forecasts the aggregate stock market negatively in good times and positively in bad times. The out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974764