ethnic conflict. A new type of bargaining failure due to multiple types of potential conflicts (and hence multiple threat …

the intensity of a conflict. The model combines elements from network theory and from the politico-economic theory of … conflict. We postulate a Tullock contest success function augmented by an externality: each group's strength is increased by … efforts. We then perform an empirical analysis using data on the Second CongoWar, a conflict that involves many groups in a …

geographic location for inter-State conflict. The main predictions of the theory are that conflict tends to be more likely when …

high economic potential and purposeful institutions having the purpose of achieving/sustaining a global leadership, tends …

When do opposition groups decide to mount a terrorism campaign and when do they enter an open civil conflict against … the ruling government? This paper models an opposition group's choice between peace, terrorism, and open conflict …. Terrorism emerges if executive constraints are intermediate and rents are sizeable. Open conflict is predicted to emerge under …

open civil conflict against the government. Our model implies that terrorism emerges if constraints on the ruling executive … group are intermediate and rents are sizeable, hereas conflict looms under poor executive constraints. Analyzing annual data … when considering the incidence and onset of terrorism and conflict. The corresponding magnitudes are economically sizeable …

We model simultaneous inter and within identity-group conflict in two territories connected by cross-territorial spill … higher efficiency of a group in inter-group conflict. We find that inter-group and total conflict move together within a … territory, while within-group conflict and output move in the opposite direction. A unilateral increase in cross-border spill …

contest the extent of institutional ethnic bias. The contest yields the per-period relative influence over institutions, which … partly spills over into the next period, by affecting relative conflict efficiency. Our model generates non …-monotone evolution of both conflict and distribution. Results suggest that external interventions, when effective in reducing current …