We propose a refined way of forecasting the equity premium. Our approach rests on the sum-of-parts approach which disaggregates the equity premium into four components. Each of these components is predicted separately, following the approach of Ferreira and Santa-Clara (2011). We extend the set...

This study uncovers a cross-border financial diversification motive related to goods and services trade. Using the IMF CPIS panel data set for a broad set of country pairs and for the period 2001-2012, I find empirical evidence that the share of equity in a bilateral portfolio decreases with...

We propose to use the wavelet concept of the phase angle to determine the lead-lag relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns that are related to the bubble component of stock prices. The wavelet phase angle allows for decoupling short- and long-run relations and is additionally...

Applying portfolio-based techniques to US foreign equity portfolio holdings, this paper studies the global investment behaviour of US investors. Taking wealth effects into account, we analyse active allocation decisions of investors. Using an updated data set by Bertaut and Tryon (2007) and...

This paper studies the effect of population aging on portfolio choice, asset prices and international asset trades. In a multi-period OLG model, we analyze how an increase in longevity or a decrease in fertility in a country affects the demand for safe and risky assets. In a closed economy,...