We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This...

We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This...

Prior research indicates that individuals prefer greater freedom of choice, but also that they experience choice overload such that they are better off when they face fewer options. I investigate the inherent motivational conflict with respect to choice in an election context. My data consist of...

This paper examines the effect of sexuality at the 2010 and 2013 Australian federal elections. This is the first study to investigate the impact of sexuality on the vote in Australia. It demonstrates that gay and lesbian communities have distinct voting patterns when controlling for...

We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This...