In this paper we show that findings of an apparently instable popularity function of U.S. presidents, as reported in the previous literature, are likely the consequence of the common use of linear estimation techniques. Employing Penalized Spline Smoothing in the context of Additive Mixed Models...

Within the next few pages, we outline how the U.S. President might employ novel arrangements of human and technology elements to produce improved government efforts involving the collective insights of all government works to: (1) better serve the public, (2) protect our country, and (3)...

This paper explores the extent to which human capital improves the economic policy competence of U.S. presidents. Several recent studies have used international data to test similar hypotheses. However, international studies suffer from a variety of comparability issues, not all of which can be...

For the past three years, Ukraine has not allowed Russia to win its illegal war of aggression. During long periods of the war, the parties have found themselves in a military and diplomatic stalemate. Now US President Donald Trump has sided with the aggressor. "Nothing about Ukraine without...

During its eight years in office, the presidency of George W. Bush worked mightily to expand and exercise its control over the federal bureaucracy, including federal agencies on the domestic side of government. Those efforts at control reflected a number of considerations including a desire to...

Much of the debate in Republican circles for the last several election cycles has been about how Republican presidents always disappoint in office, never stand strongly enough for conservative principles and compromise too much with Democrats. It is debatable whether a Republican president who...

The economic agenda of the Trump Administration, if implemented, will have large and long-lasting impacts on the US and global economies. This paper uses a global economic model to assess the consequences of President Trump's likely economic program on the world economy. The model has 17 major...

We study the logic of Peronist interventionist polices and the beliefs that support them. Instead of a comprehensive approach, we focus on three elements. First, we study beliefs and values about the economic system present in Peron's speeches during the period 1943-55. Second, we study survey...