We address the problem how to estimate default probabilities for sovereign countries based on market data of traded debt. A structural Merton-type model is applied to a sample of emerging market and transition countries. In this context, only few and heterogeneous default probabilities are...

Um die erforderliche Eigenkapitalunterlegung für das Kursrisiko von Aktien, das aus dem allgemeinen und dem besonderen Kursrisiko besteht, zu bestimmen, dürfen nach einer aufsichtsrechtlichen Neuregelung beide Risikokomponenten durch interne Risikomodelle gemessen werden. Dieser Beitrag...

We present statistical backtesting procedures applicable in situations where few and heterogeneous probabilities have to be evaluated, as is typically the case when forecasting country default risk. These tests are applied to a sample of default probabilities assessed for 19 emerging market and...

We address the problem how to estimate default probabilities for sovereign countries based on market data of traded debt. A structural Merton-type model is applied to a sample of emerging market and transition countries. In this context, only few and heterogeneous default probabilities are...