This article investigates parameter estimation of affine term structure models by means of the generalized method of moments. Exact moments of the affine latent process as well as of the yields are obtained by using results derived for p-polynomial processes. Then the generalized method of...

We investigate the sources of time-variation in the stock-oil correlation over the period 1983-2019. We first derive a novel oil futures return news decomposition following Campbell and Shiller (1988) and Campbell (1991). Then, for both stocks and oil, we split unexpected returns into cash flow...

In this article we estimate default intensities within the continuous time Jarrow/Turnbull (1995) model from daily observations of German bank bond prices, based on the default-free term structure estimated from the Svensson (1994) model provided by the Deutsche Bundesbank. Cross-sectional and...

This article covers the implicit estimation of the parameters in the Jarrow/Turnbull (1995) default risk model. We demonstrate by means of a simulation analysis that joint estimation of the default intensity and the recovery rate by non-linear least squares is numerically unstable. Therefore, we...

We extend the d cifically we analyse constant absolute and constant relative risk aversion, provide conditionsfor the existence of equilibrium, and evaluate equilibrium prices at US-data. We find that constant absolute risk aversion works particularly well at moderate levels of risk aversion. In...

This article considers a stable vector autoregressive (VAR) model and investigates return predictability in a Bayesian context. The VAR system comprises asset returns and the dividend-price ratio as proposed in Cochrane (2008), and allows pinning down the question of return predictability to the...