Aus der Vielzahl der an den europäischen Strom-Großhandelsmärkten verfügbaren Preisen werden Day Ahead Base Börsenpreise ausgewählt, um den Zusammenhang zwischen den nationalen Großhandelsmärkten zu untersuchen. Die Resultate der Law of One Price Analyse machen deutlich, dass die...

This study focuses on the question whether nonlinear transformation of lagged time series values and residuals are able to systematically improve the average forecasting performance of simple Autoregressive models. Furthermore it investigates the potential superior forecasting results of a...

Do expected asset returns vary through time? Why do some assets exhibit higher average returns than others? How can factors that drive expected returns in the time series be linked to factors that explain the cross-sectional dispersion in average returns? How do these findings affect...

This paper reinterprets Maganelli's (2009) idea of "Forecasting with Judgment" to obtain a dynamic algorithm for combining survey data and time series models for macroeconomic forecasting. Unlike existing combination approaches which typically assign weights to alternative forecasts, the...

This paper examines persistence, structural breaks and non-linearities in the case of five European stock market indices, namely the FTSE100 (UK), DAX30 (Germany), CAC40 (France), IBEX35 (Spain) and FTSE MIB40 (Italy), using fractional integration methods. The empirical results provide no...

This paper examines persistence, structural breaks and non-linearities in the case of five European stock market indices, namely the FTSE100 (UK), DAX30 (Germany), CAC40 (France), IBEX35 (Spain) and FTSE MIB40 (Italy), using fractional integration methods. The empirical results provide no...

Richer people are happier than poorer people, but when a country becomes richer over time, its people do not become happier. This seemingly contradictory pair of findings of Richard Easterlin has be-come famous as the Easterlin Paradox. However, it was met with counterevidence. To shed more...