This paper studies the credibility and transparency of monetary policy. We characterize each FOMC meeting as a decision to ease, maintain, or tighten monetary policy and model decisions with ordered probit reaction functions. Policy is credible if the estimated models are significant functions...

The objective of this paper is to characterize the interaction of the current account with its determinants using quarterly time series data for Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States from 1970 to 2005. The empirical work adopts a VAR (Vector Autoregressive) framework to capture the...

This research extends the literature on the revealed preference analysis of macroeconomic aggregates in multiple ways. The relevance of recent methodological changes in data construction is our first topic, as Varian's (1982, 1983) nonparametric tests are run on U.S. consumption series built...