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-run mean of the aggregate dividend-price ratio, most notably since the 1970s. Adjusting the dividend-price ratio for such … changes resolves several issues with respect to the predictability of stock market returns: The adjusted dividend-price ratio … predictability ; dividend-price ratio ; payout policy ; sample selection ; choice of organizational structure …
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The equity premium of the S&P 500 Index is explained in this paper by several variables that can be grouped into fundamental, behavioral and macroeconomic factors. We hypothesize that the statistical significance of these variables changes across economic regimes. The three regimes we consider...
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This paper investigates the relationship between demographic changes and the long-run returns of dividend …-fungible, the preference for high dividend-paying stocks by older investors means that the excess returns of high dividend … that, as consistent with the behavioural life-cycle hypothesis, the long-run returns of dividend-yield investment …
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This paper looks at the evolution of U.S. stock prices from the time of the Presidential elections to the end of 2017. It concludes that a bit more than half of the increase in the aggregate U.S. stock prices from the presidential election to the end of 2017 can be attributed to higher actual...
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dividend information newly obtained from contemporaneous newspapers, along with information on capital stock obtained from …
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