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This paper examines the cross-fertilizations of random utility models with the study of decision making under risk and uncertainty. We start with a description of the Expected Utility (EU) theory and then consider deviations from the standard EU frameworks, involving the Allais paradox and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005523801
Ellsberg and others suggested that decision under ambiguity is a rich empirical domain with many phenomena to be investigated beyond the Ellsberg urns. We provide a systematic empirical investigation of this richness by varying both the uncertain events, the outcomes, and combinations of these....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011527861
Two experiments show that violations of expected utility due to ambiguity, found in general decision experiments, also affect belief aggregation. Hence we use modern ambiguity theories to analyze belief aggregation, thus obtaining more refined and empirically more valid results than traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001000
This paper introduces the Prince incentive system for measuring preferences. Prince is a variation of the random incentive system that enhances isolation and makes incentive compatibility more transparent to subjects. It allows for the precise and direct elicitation of indifference values as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904692
Nash is famous for many inventions, but it is less known that he, simultaneously with Marschak, also was the first to axiomatize expected utility for risk. In particular, these authors were the first to state the independence condition, a condition that should have been but was not stated by von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989344
This paper shows how de Finetti's book-making principle, commonly used to justify additive subjective probabilities, can be modified to agree with some nonexpected utility models. More precisely, a new foundation of the rank-dependent models is presented that is based on a comonotonic extension...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712249
Among the most popular models for decision under risk and uncertainty are the rank-dependent models, introduced by Quiggin and Schmeidler. Central concepts in these models are rank-dependence and comonotonicity. It has been suggested in the literature that these concepts are technical tools that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712250
Using a theorem showing that matching probabilities of ambiguous events can capture ambiguity attitudes, we introduce a tractable method for measuring ambiguity attitudes and apply it in a large representative sample. In addition to ambiguity aversion, we confirm an ambiguity component recently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037844