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markets, very little is known about the volatility transmission between these two markets. The present study aims to conceal … this gap by investigating the volatility cross effects between oil and three different non-energy commodity markets. Using … the bivariate VAR-GARCH models, we do not find any evidence of volatility linkage between oil and agricultural product …
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There has been a systematic increase in the volatility of the real price of crude oil since 1986, followed by a decline … in the volatility of oil production since the early 1990s. We explore reasons for this evolution. We show that a likely …
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demand and supply shocks. The results show that higher macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by higher world industrial … production volatility, significantly increases the responsiveness of oil prices to oil shocks. This implies a lower price … volatility. Also the impact of oil shocks on economic activity appears to be significantly stronger in uncertain times. -- oil …
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This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
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airline stock prices. Overall, these findings are contrary to the general perception that higher oil prices or oil volatility … volatility and oil regimes determined by the globally significant events/shocks. …
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