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This research investigates the effect of the US economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the price dynamics of agricultural, energy and metal over the period 1985:01–2017:12 using wavelet coherence analysis. The results demonstrate that the price movement among the commodities and EPU indices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108988
In this paper, I examine how financialization affects the term structure of risk premia by using an equilibrium model … commodity risk, into a commodity market. Qualitatively, the model shows that the financialization decreases the segmentation … liquidity and that the investment pressure from investors creates new risk premia. Further the model shows that financialization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968058
The aim of this study is to investigate the possible contagion risk coming from energy, food and metals commodity … markets and to assess risk spillovers from biofuel to food commodity markets and from crude oil to food markets. To this … purpose, we use the delta Conditional Value-at-Risk ΔCoVaR) approach recently proposed by Adrian and Brunnermeier (2016) based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954826
Agents who acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified are said to be ambiguity averse, and this affects the prices they are willing to trade at. Models for prices of commodities attempt to capture three stylized features: seasonal trend, moderate deviations (a diffusive factor), and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022682
This study explores the economic and financial effects of uncertainty on the commodity market integration. This issue is important from the perspective of financialization versus hedging strategy, as the commodity market plays an important role in this context. We consider the eight major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908126
This article investigates the pricing of volatility risk in agricultural commodity markets. We show theoretically that … the cost of bearing volatility risk can be measured using returns to delta-neutral straddles. Using a sample of options … investors are willing to pay a cost to avoid volatility risk. Second, volatility risk is priced mainly at short maturities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889824
We measure the return connectedness in US policy uncertainty, equity and commodity market between January 1990 to December 2015, with a specific focus on the net spillover transmission from one assets class to another asset class. Applying Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 2014), we perform both static...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356138