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portfolios to maximize returns and reduce risk differently in times of crisis, and a lack of diversification of raw materials is …
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This study analyses the impact of the Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR) on the volatility of commodity futures returns from … insights highlight the importance of geopolitical risks on commodity market volatility and returns, aiding in risk management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015410084
We measure the return connectedness in US policy uncertainty, equity and commodity market between January 1990 to December 2015, with a specific focus on the net spillover transmission from one assets class to another asset class. Applying Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 2014), we perform both static...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356138
We develop a new approach to determine investors' risk compensations for all distributional moments of a security … returns and their compensation for entropy risk. Entropy risk premium (ERP), the difference of entropy under the physical and … risk-neutral measures, indicates the cost to financially hedge against changes in risks associated with the entire return …
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This study explores the economic and financial effects of uncertainty on the commodity market integration. This issue is important from the perspective of financialization versus hedging strategy, as the commodity market plays an important role in this context. We consider the eight major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908126
From 1977 through April 2019, USDA published monthly season-average price (SAP) forecasts for key agricultural commodities in the form of intervals meant to indicate forecasters' uncertainty — but without attaching a confidence level. In May 2019, USDA eliminated the intervals and began...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867214
I investigate the relationship between carry trades and tail risk for a panel of commodity futures contracts. Unlike … significant effect on tail risk mostly in the short term and for the front end of the futures curve. In addition, the empirical … speculators and insurance providers are subject to limited risk capacity and financing liquidity constraints …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932877