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This paper used cross-sectional aggregation as the inspiration for a model with long-range dependence that arises in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697497
-sectional aggregation. Nonetheless, formal analysis regarding the effect that aggregation has on the long memory dynamics of temperature … aggregation may be exacerbating the long memory estimated in regional and global temperature data. The results are robust to the …
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This note develops a flexible methodology for splicing economic time series that avoids the extreme assumptions implicit in the procedures most commonly used in the literature. It allows the user to split the required correction to the older of the series being linked between its levels and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003922946
asymptotic theory based on large aggregation intervals we derive conditions for a correspondence between both concepts. These … examining the consequences of temporal aggregation in (possibly) Granger causal systems of variables. Our approach is to compare … results allow us to differentiate between spurious contemporaneous correlation arising because of aggregation, and true …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578029
This paper develops a framework that allows us to combine the tools provided by structural models for economic interpretation and policy analysis with those of reduced-form models designed for nowcasting. We show how to map a quarterly dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399325
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While there is considerable literature attempting to model current account, there are not many studies to forecast current account balance. This study gives a comprehensive way to model and predict current account deficit (CAD) by evaluating the forecasting performance of direct and indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326533