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The aim of this paper is to make a comparison between survey and time series-based estimates of capacity utilization for the Italian manufacturing sector. The comparison is focused on the actual economic crisis. Two kinds of empirical evaluation are implemented: the ability of the series to...
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assess short-term regimes of aggregate demand and distribution in Germany. The obtained Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) of …
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Using unique firm-level survey data from Germany, this paper investigates two measures of supply constraints: a new …
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Using firm-level survey data from Germany, this paper asks how do supply constraints propagate monetary policy shocks …
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This paper looks into the 'fine print' of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for the period from 1996 to 2014 and a data set consisting of 175 monthly indicators, we evaluate which indicators get selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411839
production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in … great moderation” in the US at the end of a minor depression in Germany. Around 2005, oil prices increased from $10 to $60 a …
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unterschiedlicher Finanzmarktindikatoren, um die Industrieproduktion in Deutschland vorherzusagen. Die Prognoseeigenschaften, innerhalb …We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149544