We develop a quantitative theory of repeated political transitions driven by revolts and reforms. In the model, the beliefs of disenfranchised citizens play a key role in determining revolutionary pressure, which in interaction with preemptive reforms determines regime dynamics. We estimate the...

This study analyzes the current model of the Russian political system from the point of view of its influence on the political landscape of Central Europe (European states). Modern political system of Russia (with minor changes) has existed for almost 20 years, demonstrating amazing stability....

How may the current zero-COVID policy affect Chinese people’s confidence in the political system? This paper uses two waves of online survey experiments in 2020 and 2022 to investigate the relationship between attitudes toward dynamic zero-COVID policy and confidence in China’s political...

Throughout the year the controversial legislative elections dominated the political landscape. Huge anti-government demonstrations that called in vain for political alternance. The legislative elections of 20 December 2018, boycotted by the major opposition parties, resulted in an easy victory...

This paper argues that openness to goods trade in combination with an unequal distribution of political power has been a major determinant of the comparatively slow development of resource- or land-abundant regions like South America and the Caribbean in the nineteenth century. We develop a...

Throughout the year the controversial legislative elections dominated the political landscape. Huge anti-government demonstrations that called in vain for political alternance. The legislative elections of 20 December 2018, boycotted by the major opposition parties, resulted in an easy victory...