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On average, "young" people underestimate whereas "old" people overestimate their chances to survive into the future. We adopt a Bayesian learning model of ambiguous survival beliefs which replicates these patterns. The model is embedded within a non-expected utility model of life-cycle...
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-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … times. We show that the rise in the aggregate savings ratio is driven by increases in uncertainty, rather than tighening of … constraints ; savings ; recessions ; uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009537319
Using a unique data set with detailed information on Danish households and their mortgages, we show that young and old households are more likely to use IO mortgages compared to middle-aged households. Young households use IO mortgages to postpone repayment to a period with higher income, old...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899633
Uninsurable income risk is often cited as an explanation for empirical deviations from the Lifecycle/Permanent-Income Hypothesis such as the hump-shaped lifecycle profile of mean consumption. In this paper, we solve a lifecycle consumption model using a calibrated income process that matches the...
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We revisit the alleged retirement consumption puzzle. According to the life-cycle theory, foreseeable income reductions … endowments after retirement, the theory does predict a fall of total market consumption expenditures. In order not to mistake …-cycle theory. For retirees we also find significant effects of the income reduction at retirement on housing. However, the effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455042