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We investigate optimal trading strategies under uncertainty in a nonparametric no-arbitrage framework that is consistent with an arbitrary number of assets. We show that extreme aversion to uncertainty precludes trading, and that preference for uncertainty induces market participation. In an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011875975
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002625356
We analyze several exotic options of American style in a multiple prior setting and study the optimal exercise strategy from the perspective of an ambiguity averse buyer in a discrete time model of Cox-Ross-Rubinstein style. The multiple prior model relaxes the assumption of a known distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921365
We hypothesize that managers can learn about a firm's investment uncertainty from the equity options market. Using a US sample of 1,865 merger and acquisition attempts during 1996–2015, we show that the volatility implied from an acquiring firm's equity options around an acquisition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839197
We study how firm ambiguity---Knightian uncertainty---affects investor trading behavior using the options market as a laboratory. Greater ambiguity in the underlying asset negatively relates to both options open interest and options trading volume. The reduction in options trading activity is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403341
This paper shows that, contrary to common beliefs, the real options effect of uncertainty plays no role in the long run rate of investment. This is proven for both the standard investment model with Cobb-Douglas production and Brownian motion demand, and also for a broader class of models with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014036567
We derive replicating portfolios for some commonly used dynamic trading rules. In particular, we show that two commonly used dynamic rules can be replicated with static option portfolios. These replicating portfolios are more precise than the corresponding dynamic rules in the sense that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838790
This paper derives a robust online equity trading algorithm that achieves the greatest possible percentage of the final wealth of the best pairs rebalancing rule in hindsight. A pairs rebalancing rule chooses some pair of stocks in the market and then perpetually executes rebalancing trades so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023352
The art market has seen boom and bust during the last years and, despite the downturn, has received more attention from investors given the low interest environment following the financial crisis. However, participation has been reserved for a few investors and the hedging of exposures remains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947461
We explore the various arguments for and against the recommendation that younger households should invest a larger share of their pension wealth in risky assets. The ability of young agents to compensate their financial losses by saving more during their career provides the strongest argument in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002577086