This paper explores the joint effect of aggregate productivity shocks and capital market liberalization on the optimal bailout (or liquidation) policy of banks towards defaulted borrowers. It suggests that in bad times both good and bad firms default on their obligations, it is harder for the...

This paper computes the default probabilities implicit in the prices of Brady bonds of seven developing countries and examines the factors that determine the high cross-correlation of the probability paths. The term structure of U.S. interest rates and the ratio of long-term foreign debt to GDP,...