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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002059028
Market Hypothesis sense. The paper tries to show that this so-called excess volatility is to a large extend the result of the … employing the Gordon Growth Model and using an estimation process for the dividend growth rate that was suggested by Barsky and …, constant dividend growth rates as well as non-variable discount rates. It is shown that indeed volatility declines considerably …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003482498
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001985899
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540476
This paper introduces a novel consumption-based variable, cyclical consumption, and examines its predictive properties for stock returns. Future expected stock returns are high (low) when aggregate consumption falls (rises) relative to its trend and marginal utility from current consumption is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900308
This paper elucidates the influence of stock market volatility on U.S. consumption using pooled mean group (PMG …) estimation of 46 states over the period from 1998 to 2017. The findings confirm that the PMG estimates of the effect of stock … market volatility on consumption are robust to the lag order, lag selection criteria, and outliers compared with the mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661246
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