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Conventional financial theory considers ex-ante that risk, generally measured by the volatility, has to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757486
also accommodate both unspanned macro risks and unspanned stochastic volatility in the term structure literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970472
fnancial institutions. We show that the 10-year Treasury yield's forward-looking volatility, a VIX-style measure that is a … volatility of crude oil prices over the near term. Using monthly data from 2003 to 2020, we document that higher implied … volatility in the 10-year U.S. Treasury derivatives market predicts declining oil prices and higher forward-looking volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014530189
This paper investigates US Treasury market volatility and develops new ways of dealing with the underlying interest … rate volatility risk. We adopt an innovative approach which is based on a class of model-free interest rate volatility (VXI …) indices we derive from options traded on the CBOE. The empirical analysis indicates substantial interest rate volatility risk …
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based on the superior volatility forecast for analyzing historical data. We extend the current litearure by measuring the … volatility of an underlying asset in the last predefined period and comparing the actual volatility in currency with historical … volatility in currency to make predictions of implied volatility. We calculated stock price volatility through an optimal holding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014637162
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636657
along with the specification of (a) the initial density, and (b) the volatility structure of the density. The volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797695