Using monthly data for the period 19532003, we apply a real-time modeling approach to investigate the implications of U.S. political stock market anomalies for forecasting excess stock returns. Our empirical findings show that political variables, selected on the basis of widely used model...

This paper presents an analysis of pension funds' performance in Poland and Hungary, two Central European countries characterized by strong regulation of their private pension fund industries. Thus, the paper extends the literature which has so far mostly focused on performance of pension fund...

Die Zielsetzung des Forschungsprojekts besteht darin, neue Erkenntnisse zu den Eigenschaften der Preisbildungsprozesse deutscher Agrarrohstoffe zu liefern. Dabei stehen folgende Fragen im Mittelpunkt: Weisen deutsche Kassa- und europäische Futurepreise der Agrarrohstoffe Weizen, Mais und Raps...

Die Zielsetzung der Studie besteht darin, durch Anwendung ökonometrischer Verfahren und Durchführung einer Primärerhebung fundierte Erkenntnisse zur Bedeutung von Agrarterminmärkten für Preisbildungsmechanismen auf deutschen Kassamärkten und Informationen zur Nutzung von Terminkontrakten...

A large part of the current debate on US stock price behavior concentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven by fundamentals or by non-fundamental factors. In this paper we put forward the hypothesis that a present value model with time-varying expected returns provides an...

Based on a cash-in-advance approach, this paper investigates theoretically the determinants of money holdings of firms under the conditions of a highly regulated labor market and analyses empirically the demand for money of German businesses during the period 1960-1998. As a result of our...