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it and embedds it into a broader setting showing its links to a subtle concept of agents' rationality. We derive a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074914
-generating process. It appears that the rationality of economic agents depends on complex cognitive processes not discussed by Kurz, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076027
In this paper we develop a general equilibrium model of exchange rates where expectations of future variables directly affect the current exchange rate through an 'asset-market' term. This term, which results from the assumptions of incomplete asset markets and segmented product markets, does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470358
The uncovered interest rate parity equation is the cornerstone of most models in international macro. However, this equation does not hold empirically since the forward discount, or interest rate differential, is negatively related to the subsequent change in the exchange rate. This forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784266
We examine rationality, forecasting accuracy, and economic value of the survey-based exchange rate forecasts for 10 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903718
The uncovered interest rate parity equation is the cornerstone of most models in international macro. However, this equation does not hold empirically since the forward discount, or interest rate differential, is negatively related to the subsequent change in the exchange rate. This forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467044
This research analyzes the way agents participating in the Colombian exchange market form their expectations and how they arrive at an equilibrium price. The forward exchange rate was used as an approximation of the expected spot rate, implying the necessity to explain how its price is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148516
In this paper we develop a general equilibrium model of exchange rates where expectations of future variables directly affect the current exchange rate through an 'asset-market' term. This term, which results from the assumptions of incomplete asset markets and segmented product markets, does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229053
This paper examines whether rational, fully informed speculators will smooth exchange rates. Friedman's (1953) claim that they must do so is challenged, based on the exclusion of interest rate differentials from his interpretation of speculator behavior. Once one recognizes that interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049775
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003431954