This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...

We explore future job creation needs under conditions of demographic, economic, and technological change. First, we estimate the implications for job creation in 2020-2030 of population growth, changes in labor force participation, and the achievement of plausible target unemployment rates,...

Die vorliegende neueste IAB-Bevölkerungsprojektion bestätigt weitgehend die bekannten Tendenzen: Die Deutschen werden immer weniger und immer älter. Diese Trends werden vor allem durch die Geburtenentwicklung der Vergangenheit bestimmt, die sich in der heutigen Altersstruktur niederschlägt...

Research on population projections and estimates are well-developed worldwide. Nonetheless, methodological advances are still required when it comes to educationspecific population projections. This paper aims to contribute in this matter presenting a method to project specialised workforce in...

Using a highly stylized dynamic microsimulation model, we project the labor force of the United States up to the year 2060 and contrast these projections with projections for Germany to assess differential effects on outcomes The projections are consistent with the U S Census Bureau's and...

The aim of this paper is to show possible consequences of changes in labor force participation of women and the connection between fertility and labor force participation on the future demographic and economic development in Germany. For this purpose a projection model based on micro-data...